Lumi Trades › Trade ideas › T013
Paper trade T013: Zebec Network (ZBCN) long
Lumi Market IdeasPaper-trade analysis, not investment advice. Lumi does not trade real money.
Posted Oct 25, 2026, 6:45 AM CDT
The setup on the chart
Entry zone 0.00203–0.00207Stop 0.00195T1 0.00225T2 0.0024Dotted lines: posted / closed · Oct 23, 7 PM – Oct 25, 5 AM CT
Risk to stop 5.80% (11.6% of margin at 2x)Reward to T1 8.70% (17.4% at 2x)
What happened
- Oct 25, 2026, 6:45 AM CDT Idea posted · Long · 2x; entry zone 0.00203–0.00207
- Oct 25, 2026, 7:05 AM CDT Missed-it plan armed · price ran past the missed-it limit before a fill
- Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM CDT Missed-it plan invalidated · 1h close beyond the plan's stop
- Oct 30, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT Expires if not filled
- Nov 13, 2026, 11:00 PM CST Time stop · closes at market if still open
Lumi's reasoning
Read more: why this idea, the leverage and the “missed it?” plan
Why 2x: Low conviction (2x): the $0.00200 floor has held twice (Oct 18, Oct 24) and ZBCN has the best 30-day relative strength on the watchlist, but the 4h/1d signals are Sell, BTC is soft and the Fed (Oct 28) and BOJ (Oct 30) are this week. Stop 5.8% from the worst fill (0.00207), so about 11.6% of margin at 2x (cap 25/5.8 = 4.3x).
SWING LONG (buy the range floor). ZBCN has traded 0.00200-0.00235 since mid-October. Saturday's market-wide liquidation flush took it to 0.00201 on Kraken, matching the Oct 18 low (0.002001), and it closed the day back at ~0.00215: two holds of the same floor while most of the list made new 30-day lows. It is the only watchlist coin up over 30 days (+5.3%). The bid sits at 0.00203-0.00207, just above the double bottom. Stop 0.00195 is under the double bottom and the Sep 28 low (0.001985); a daily close there breaks the range. T1 0.00225 is the Oct 19-20 highs (0.002247-0.002249), just above the daily EMA20 (~0.00221); T2 0.0024 sits under the Oct 11 high (0.00241) and the Oct 21 spike (0.00248). From the worst fill (0.00207): risk 5.8% vs 8.7% to T1 (1.5R) and 15.9% to T2 (2.75R). Signals are not supportive (1h Neutral, 4h/1d Sell, RSI ~46-49), and it is a thin small cap that follows BTC, so conviction stays low. Product news (Q3 buyback of 40.5M ZBCN, Stellar payroll, Zebec Cards) is steady background, not the reason for the trade.
“Missed it?” plan
Only buy 0.00203-0.00207. Above 0.00208 the stop under 0.00195 is more than 6% away for little more than that to T1, so don't chase; use the breakout plan instead. Skip the idea if ZBCN gets a daily close under 0.00200 before filling (the double bottom has failed). (missed-it limit 0.00208)
Plan B (breakout): 1h close above 0.00235 (clears the Oct 22 high at 0.002346 and the top of the two-week range). Zone 0.00234–0.00237, stop 0.00226, target 0.00255. Status: invalidated.